Category: Investing

US Stock Market Prices Have Increased 75% in the Past 11 Months, a 3.6 Sigma Event

Mar 8, 2021
The S&P500 has increased 75% in the past 11 months, an excessively big deal From current levels, it will take […]

Forecasts of 2021 Stock Market Performance Are Overly Optimistic

Mar 1, 2021
Two basic underlying assumptions are uniformly optimistic. Threats to the economy and stock market are rarely discussed or reflected in […]

6 Graphs & a Table Report on: Asset Classes and Target Date Fund Performance in 2020, Plus US Stocks & Bonds in The Past 95 Years, from 1926-2020

Feb 22, 2021
Below are investment performance results for the year 2020 and the updated results for 95 years (1926-2020): All asset classes […]

Harbingers from Venezuela, Japan, and China

Feb 8, 2021
The US can learn from Venezuela’s mistakes that made a rich country poor while artificially inflating its stock market. Japan […]

Wall Street is Gaslighting Baby Boomers

Jan 25, 2021
The word “Gaslighted” means manipulated into not seeing reality Forecasts of 2021 security returns are gaslighting baby boomers into believing […]

This Crazy Stock Market: A Story Told with Pictures

Jan 11, 2021
Greed is driving the US stock market to new highs Fear will eventually replace greed. We provide 10 reasons to […]

Four Causes of the US Stock Market Bubble

Dec 21, 2020
Investor behaviors are inflating the US stock market bubble, namely hope and greed. Fed intervention is a third cause. It […]

A Foreboding Outlook for the US Stock Market in the Decade of the 2020s

Dec 7, 2020
There is a formula for forecasting future stock returns. Its accuracy depends on forecasts of future Price/Earnings ratios. Crestmont Research […]

Alternative Investments That Protect U.S. Investors When the Stock Market Bubble Bursts

Nov 16, 2020
We believe US stock and bond markets are currently grossly overpriced, and their bubbles are about to burst Alternatives to […]

The Best Investment Strategy for IRAs

Nov 2, 2020
IRAs are invested 60/40 in stocks/bonds regardless of age and individual needs. A better approach is to follow a target […]